Clearing Up the Playoff Picture – 4.4.12

Wednesday, April 4, 2012
By Jon Newberry

With such a tight race involving so many teams, almost every night will feature at least one game with playoff implications. Here on the blog we will provide a daily update on the standings, what games to watch, and where to find the best analysis about the Hawks’ position.


What happened last night:

  • Pacers 112 – Knicks 104 (@ Indiana)
    The Pacers outscored the Knicks 40-17 in the fourth quarter to earn the victory and in doing so, moved into the third spot in the Eastern Conference standings. If the season ended right now the Hawks would face Indiana in the first round of the playoffs.
  • Heat 99 – Sixers 93 (@ Miami)
    LeBron scored 41 points as the Heat clinched their spot in the 2012 playoffs. Meanwhile, Philly falls a game and a half behind the Hawks and the Celtics with the loss.
  • Pistons 102 – Magic 95 (@ Detroit)
    Orlando dropped its fourth straight game, falling to the fifth seed (fourth best record) in the Eastern Conference.
Here is what is on tap for tonight:
  • Raptors @ Sixers – 7pm
    The Sixers look to bounce back after falling to the Heat. They are back at home where they are 19-10 this season.
  • Pacers @ Wizards – 7:00 pm
    Indiana is another team playing the tail end of a back-to-back. They face an easier opponent, but will have to win on the road.
  • Spurs @ Celtics – 7:30 pm
    Boston’s tough schedule continues. After defeating the Heat this past weekend, they now host the Spurs, winners of eight straight.
  • Bobcats @ Hawks – 7:30 pm
    Atlanta has won 5-of-6 at home and has beaten Charlotte in both of their previous meetings this season.
  • Cavs @ Bucks – 8:00 pm
    Milwaukee can pull within one game of New York for the last playoff spot with a win over Cleveland.

With so many possible outcomes still available to the Hawks, it is always good to have some serious number crunchers on hand. Here on the Hawks Blog we have always relied on for our in-depth analysis of playoff odds, etc. Here is a breakdown of where the Hawks could finish based on their record in the remaining 12 games:


Another resource that uses numbers way above most of our heads is ESPN’s John Hollinger. He is a frequent visitor to the Highlight Factory and breaks down nearly every facet of NBA basketball with statistics and probabilities. For his “Daily Playoff Odds” he runs the remaining schedule through the computer 5,000 times to churn out the most likely results. Right now he has the Hawks finishing in a three-way tie with Orlando and Indiana at 39-27. CLICK HERE for his complete breakdown.

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